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AI Founder's Bitter Lesson. Chapter 4 - You’re a wizard Harry
There are plenty of problems out there, an AI app is far from the only thing you can do.
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AI Founder's Bitter Lesson. Chapter 3 - A Footnote in History
AI vertical applications will have a brief moment of opportunity as models mature enough to be useful but still need engineering guardrails, but by 2027 more capable models will make most vertical applications obsolete as users shift to general-purpose AI agents.
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AI Founder's Bitter Lesson. Chapter 2 - No Power
Vertical AI products will lose market share to horizontal AI competitors unless protected by cornered resources.
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AI Founder's Bitter Lesson. Chapter 1 - History Repeats Itself
Historically, general approaches always win in AI. Founders in AI application space now repeat the mistakes of AI researchers.
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The Fundamentals Of Designing Autonomy Evaluations For AI Safety
A guide to building autonomy evaluations for AI safety.